Search results for "conditional correlation"
showing 7 items of 7 documents
Testing for financial contagion between developed and emerging markets during the 1997 East Asian crisis
2005
In this paper we examine whether during the 1997 East Asian crisis there was any contagion from the four largest economies in the region (Thailand, Indonesia, Korea and Malaysia) to a number of developed countries (Japan, UK, Germany and France). Following Forbes and Rigobon, we test for contagion as a significant positive shift in the correlation between asset returns, taking into account heteroscedasticity and endogeneity bias. Furthermore, we improve on earlier empirical studies by carrying out a full sample test of the stability of the system that relies on more plausible (over) identifying restrictions. The estimation results provide some evidence of contagion, in particular from Japan…
The impact of financial crises on co-movements between commodity futures and equity prices : evidence from crude oil and gold markets
2017
Omaisuusluokkien välisillä korrelaatioilla on tärkeä rooli sijoitussalkun hajautusta ajatellen. Omaisuuslajien suojauksen kannalta erityisen tärkeää on tutkia, miten eri omaisuusluokat korreloivat kriisiperiodien aikana. Tässä Pro-Gradu -tutkielmassa tarkastellaan osakemarkkinakriisien vaikutusta hyödykefutuurien ja osakemarkkinatuottojen välisiin korrelaatioihin USA:n markkinoilla erityisesti raakaöljyn ja kullan osalta. Korrelaatioiden mallintamisessa hyödynnetään Cappiellon, Englen ja Sheppardin vuonna 2006 ehdottamaa yleistettyä diagonaalimuotoista DCC GARCH -mallia. Tutkimuksessa verrataan ehdollisten korrelaatioiden kehitystä erikseen USA:n osakemarkkinoiden yleisindeksin ja energiase…
TESTING FOR CONTAGION: A CONDITIONAL CORRELATION ANALYSIS
2005
Abstract In this paper, we test for contagion within the East Asian region, contagion being defined as a significant increase in the degree of comovement between stock returns in different countries. For this purpose, we use a parameter stability test, and, following [Rigobon, R., 2003a. On the measurement of the international propagation of shocks: is the transmission stable?, Journal of International Economics], we control for three types of bias, resulting from heteroscedasticity, endogeneity and omitted variable, respectively. The null of interdependence against the alternative of contagion is then tested as an overidentifying restriction. Unlike other studies, our approach is based on …
Bitcoin and stock market indices: analysis of volatility’s clusters during the bitcoin bubble based on the dynamic conditional correlation model
2019
The market of virtual currencies, called cryptocurrency, has grown immensely since 2008 in terms of market capitalisation and the numbers of new currencies. Bitcoin is one of the most famous cryptocurrency with an estimated market capitalisation of nearly $ 69 billion. The fact that Bitcoin prices have fallen about 70% from their peak value and most indices were down double-digit year to date (2018) with a high daily volatility create the appearance that there has to be a correlation. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the contagion effect between Bitcoin prices and the leading American, European and Asian equity markets using the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model propose…
Time-varying conditional correlation : effect on international portfolio diversification in Southeast Asia
2017
Tämä tutkimus tarkastelee USA:n ja valittujen Kaakkois-Aasian kehittyvien maiden markkinoita; Philippiinejä, Indonesiaa, Malesiaa ja Thaimaata. Tutkimus antaa tuloksia sekä USA:n että indonesialaisen sijoittajan näkökulmasta. Merkittävä rooli tutkimuksessa on ajassa muuttuvan korrelaation havainnollistamisessa osakeindeksien välillä käyttäen apuna Englen vuonna 2002 esittelemää DCC-GARCH mallia. Tutkimuksessa käytetty data on vuodesta 1988 vuoteen 2015 saakka. Tulokset paljastavat kuinka valittujen osakemarkkinoiden välinen korrelaatio on muuttunut kolmen kriisin - Aasian kriisin, teknologiakuplan ja globaali talouskriisin - myötä ja onko muutos ollut pysyvää vai ei. Lisäksi tutkimuksessa t…
Keep the faith in banking : New evidence for the effects of negative interest rates based on the case of Finnish cooperative banks
2021
This paper analyses the profitability of Finnish cooperative banks during the period of negative nominal interest rates. Contrary to expectations, the continuous decline in money market interest rates between 2009 and 2014, and the following negative rate era, did not have adverse effects on the profitability of banks at the beginning of negative interest rate period. Based on especially using a risk-adjusted measure for bank profitability, these results contrast with previous findings. In our findings, the increasing wholesale funding (WSF) ratio seems to be an important factor. However, after 2017 the banks have not been able to improve especially their risk-adjusted profitability so stro…
Timescale-dependent stock market comovement: BRICs vs. developed markets
2014
This paper examines the differences in the asset return comovement of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China), the other developed economies in their regions (Canada, Hong Kong and Australia) and the major industrialized economies (the U.K., Germany and Japan) with respect to the U.S. for different return periods. The novelty of the paper is that the stock return indices are decomposed to several timescales using wavelet analysis and that the results are further used as inputs for the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) framework, which is used as a measure of comovement. The results propose that the level of stock market comovement depends on regional aspects, the level of d…